New year, new skill.

Post Quality: D-

I’ll admit super busy day, this post could probably be summarized in a tweet, but committed to my goal of posting every day. Whether it be fitness, welding, carpentry, programming, plumbing, electrical, or other skills I’ve been committed to improving and getting better every year. Any human can accomplish amazing things in a year if focused.

This year my “side project” is to learn anything and everything I can about crypto currencies. From what I have seen so far all the standard trading methodologies and process’s apply, what I lack is understanding the underlying “fundamentals” and mechanics.

I’ve made this analogy many times, but I built an ISP from the ground up with 14.4K modems all the way up to GB fiber. IMHO we are in the 14.4K modem days of this run.

If you aren’t learning trading, programming or some other skilled trade, mental or physical use the post to redirect your energy. I will be dedicating a couple hours a day to get more in depth, and will blog here about my learning process.

Get strapped in, 2018 has amazing prospects.

 

Response to @ozarktrades “2017 trading review”

Link to original post: http://www.twitlonger.com/show/n_1sqcm19

I often rant about “overly biased loud mouth shorts on twitter” and because of these rants get a fair amount of guff in return from traders that seem to think “short and hold” is a viable strategy for new or small traders. I’ll be the first to admit my motivation can be very “white knight’ish” but at the same time the primary rational behind my defense of the small and/or new trader is we are talking about a public network, Fintwit. Am I anti short selling? Nothing can be further from the truth. Am I anti using a large twitter following to convince small traders that if they just “keep holding” the rewards will come? Yes.

There are typically two profiles that describe the “overly biased loud mouth shorts on twitter” the first is the trader that swings a big line and can short the front side and keep adding higher which creates the “you can’t squeeze me” bravado. Second is the fundamental short that will take a position early in the move and proceed to bash the stock 10,20,50 or even more times a day, offering constant justification and links to defend that this stock “cant possibly go higher”.

Phil aka “OzarkTrades” is NEITHER of these.

In this post I would like to address several great points that Phil makes and attempt to draw parallels to defend my point that shorting in today’s market is not very accessible to the new and/or small trader, and again while it is a viable strategy for new traders, should be avoided until the market changes. I have been actively day trading and short selling for close to ten years, the last 2 years have been unlike any market I have seen. So many low priced stocks go higher than you would have ever expected on Day 1, and so often continue over multiple days, weeks, and even MONTHS. If you are a new trader shorting small size or even worse shorting on margin, you CANNOT survive these moves no matter what the “overly biased loud mouth shorts on twitter” say.

My biggest month of the year was November with 1.3 million in gains thanks to the hype in crypto currencies. (No I do not trade cryptos but the equities that are tied to them) I was profitable every month in 2017 and again most of my money was made on the short side.

First off I would like to congratulate Phil on an incredible year! I have considered Phil a role model for several years and he is a great guy with honesty and integrity. Though him and I are are mostly “internet friends” we have met briefly several times and he is quick with a handshake and a smile and seems genuinely interested in conversations with any trader new or veteran. There is nothing I enjoy more than seeing people I look up to and my friends succeed. Since we have only met a few times, Phil may think the “friend” moniker is a little aggressive but oh well. 🙂

After trading for 11 years it is fairly easy to identify the top setups. The timing is obviously the difficult part.

This point can NEVER be stressed enough and I’m pleased Phil starts the post with this. All traders new, intermediate or advanced KNOW these stocks will ultimately fail. But what will happen between Point A – C and what will happen during Point B. That is the ultimate question in trading, particularly on the short side. It does not matter if Point C is ultimately a “zero” if your account becomes a “zero” during the B Phase. My perspective again to the new trader is, why not try and take a small part of the run up from A through part of B, take small gains, focus on wins and build your account, do not try to be a hero on the short side early.

Again, I’m a believer that the big money is in the big wins. Personally, I don’t try to hit it big every day or every week but I try to take full advantage of the 6-7-8 ect big setups a year.

This quote wraps up a GREAT paragraph on being aggressive and sizing into your favorite setups, which again is the golden rule of a advanced trader. But back to 99% of Fintwit, this 99% needs to focus on building an account and getting better at your process, trading 6 times a year it will be very difficult to build a small account. And of course I’ll get responses like “Don’t trade with a small account” But remember my point is we are talking about Twitter, the truth is 99.9999% of the traders on twitter are small and looking for ideas and help in getting better. I may be wrong but I don’t think many billion dollar hedge fund managers are coming to Twitter for trading ideas.

In 2017 I worked every single day even on vacation. Yes I bring a laptop even on vacation because you never know what could happen.

Sometimes it does suck to sit at the desk from 6am to 3pm (central time) waiting for that one stock to break but it usually always pays off, especially if you learn to take time off when things are not so hot.

Love both these points, if you are not 100% committed to trading your odds of success are exponentially lower. I read the opening line of this paragraph and chuckled thinking, “Been there, done what”. I also worked EVERY day of 2017. Including on vacation. Both Phil and I have young children and we both greatly value our time with them, but hey, nobody goes to the pool before noon anyway, and if you get up early before the family you can easily put in a solid day of work and improvement and still have 12 hours to spend with the family. Daddy’s got to pay the bills.

And it does suck to sit there all day every day, but as a trader you are “never done” and I’ve seen countless sniper analogies to the point of nauseam, and I’ve used them myself too many times. But if you are unwilling to train nonstop and wait for “the shot” consider another career. I NEVER get tired of studying stocks, studying other traders, studying myself.

There has been 1 big difference for short sellers in 2017 and that has been the dramatic increase in Htb fees and short interest.

Back to my opening statement, when I get asked “why do you bust short sellers chops all the time?” this statement by Phil may be one of the biggest reasons. Trading constantly evolves and changes, and I recognized a shift in 2016. I do not know the internal workings of brokerage firms, but I believe firms recognized the rampant demand of short sellers to get aggressive and “pay up” for borrows. I’m old enough to remember how difficult it was to borrow shares, particularly over multiple days and weeks. I think this seismic shift in short availability and willingness to pay these fees has created some of the multiple day and week squeezes. Therein lies my advice to the new trader, look to profit on the front side of these moves, recognize that “everyone” is short and you do not need a special brokerage account.

Again, the key is to cut those losses quickly and look for re-entry. Trust me I am the king of taking paper cut losses.

Always the “golden rule” of trading and it cannot be stressed enough. Although my point is, this is “easy to say” for a veteran. But if you are a newer trader on Fintwit and see “The fundamental short that will take a position early in the move and proceed to bash the stock 10,20,50 or even more times a day, offering constant justification and links to defend that this stock “cant possibly go higher”. I mentioned above, you will almost always form a bias, thinking “This trader with a large following knows his stuff, I’ll hold.” Be willing to trade your own ideas and stop out when your trade plan says you will stop out. I respect Phil for never going on twitter and bashing a stock no matter how positive he is in his thesis.

I still don’t understand why traders will start a short on the upside and say they will add higher. How did that methodology work on DRYS in 2016?

Ahh yes my favorite Twitter short seller quote “Will add higher.” Few things make me pound my desk in rage more than that saying. If you have a twitter account with a large following and are known for being a proficient short seller, posting this statement to twitter should get your fingers slammed in a door. What possible goal can be accomplished by stating this on PUBLIC NETWORK? In my humble opinion this phrase is only used in a malicious manner. We all know early shorts will get squeezed out and add fuel to the fire. Best I can figure the only justification for this statement is hoping to torch small traders to accelerate the upside move so that said large trader can create a greater trade opportunity for themselves. This may be the single biggest takeaway from my writeup, if you are following big name traders touting the willingness to “add higher” proceed with caution my friends.

If we have a low float that is being manipulated, then being stubborn will just get you run over.

As a new or aspiring short seller please avoid “float rotating” stocks. There are so many other stocks to short and so many better times, when the volume has dried up. Be patient, wait and you will be rewarded, but if you are shorting on days the float is rotating I wish you luck, you will need it.

Phil wraps up the post with some great advice on being diversified and having backup plans. I’ll let you refer to the linked post above, some very solid advice and I recommend reading and re-reading his post.

In the end my point is, be inspired by the amazing possibilities in trading, we are in a market unlike any I have ever seen in my 10 years. Use these posts by great traders like Phil to plan for the future. But in the end, perspective is everything. Many of the trades and techniques he employs on a daily basis, including using 6-7 high minimum brokerage accounts, boxing trades, hedging with options etc, are not yet accessible to you as a new trader.

Learn charting, learn how to process the news and fundamentals and focus on making small and consistent wins on the long side of these fast moving stocks. After you are a consistently profitable trader with a medium sized account and some consistency and success under your belt, then look to be a “big swinging dick” short seller. But when you make that step, please promise me you WILL follow in Phil’s steps and NOT blast twitter with the “this stock is a zero” or “will add higher” nonsense.

Thanks to Phil for a great post.

 

 

 

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes & @thehonestcroock Chapter 12

Click here to get Timothy Sykes Trader Checklist 100% for FREE.

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Summary:

GREAT chapter!! Mark is a solid trader and I think his “Pre Flight Checklist” was the inspiration for Sykes to finally put his system into the “Sykes Sliding Scale”. This two hour webinar by Mark takes you from beginning to end of detailing his system as well as its actual implementation. I really like the way he organized it and it was obviously well thought out.

Croock starts by detailing how diligent you have to be in following a system, then proceeds to actually building a watchlist using his “Pre Flight Checklist”. I really liked the metaphor of an airplane pilot double checking and triple checking criteria before actually taking off.

Reminded me of a very solid book: The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right

Something no one wants to hear but is very important, so much of being a trader is repeating the same process 5-10-50 times a day. It is not sexy but it’s that due diligence that creates consistently profitable traders. I didn’t count but I think Mark says “It’s just wash, rinse, repeat” several times during this chapter. It may not be alluring but it’s the truth. Whether it be the “Pre Flight Checklist” or the “Sykes Sliding Scale” you need to develop a system that works for you and stick with it and refine it ad nauseum.

This chapter is for sure a MUST re watch. I’ve seen less valuable content on $200-500 DVD’s and this chapter is just a portion of the FREE content in Trader Checklist.

Notes:

Mark Croock Pre Flight Checklist
#1 Criteria to get started
     -Big % gainer
     -Former runner
     -StocksToTrade – Yahoo finance – Finfiz – thelion.com Nasdaq.com
     -Twitter
#2 Check stats
     -Float
     -Shares outstanding
     -# of shares short
Good description of the behavior of low float stocks
Good discussion on repeating the due diligence EVERY time.
Finviz screener for big gainers. >10%
     -Sort by volume
Process of building list of tickers, quickly scan at first.
     -Start with big list, then whittle down
     -Check multiple sources, finviz, StocksToTrade, Yahoo finance, etc etc.
     -Ignore low volume
#3 Catalysts
     Why
          -earnings winner – Potential Buy
          -contract winner – Potential Buy
          -technical breakout – Potential Buy
          -Hot sector –  – Potential Buy – trends, Ebola,weed etc
          -Pump – Potential short
          -Buyout rumors – guessing game – no edge. IGNORE
          -Speculative and “potential” news, usually an Ignore
#4 Where is longer term and short term Support and resistance
     -Basic technical analysis
     -Multiple time frames.
     -Avoid long term “bag holder” charts, long kiss goodnight.
MOST CHARTS ARE NOT TRADEABLE, learn to recognize this through repetition.
Breakdown of NVCN – Rinse and repeat methods already mentioned.
Avoid beat down stocks
Watchlist building – good thinking through of potentials
     -writing out thoughts
Really like the idea of writing out plans/ideas
Good breakdown of balance sheet
Good example of my “ghetto fundamental analysis” quick cash check, burn rate etc.

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 10

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Summary:

Nice quick chapter that summarizes the day after Chapter 9. Basically a recap of how the stocks ended up trading after the Trader Checklist analysis the day before. Some very useful trading psychology discussion is included as well. Its very general but nice to hear post mortem how Sykes was thinking and how he works through these types of trades.

I liked the points about avoiding pre market trading unless the setup is just too juicy to skip, as well as the difference between a “convincing” breakout and a “lame” breakout (with examples).

While quick this was a good chapter, I think it was a solid idea to go over the trades from the day before and Sykes sprinkled in enough Trading Psychology to make this chapter high in value.

Notes:

Mid day recap – Daily review

DELT, TSRI

SPU, GRPN

EVOK

User testimonials and trade recaps

TSRI Recap – Earnings winner

Avoid pre market trading when possible.

Discussion of when and how to buy morning dips

Good basic support/resistance technical analysis discussion

DELT – Dip buy

Convincing breakouts vs lame breakouts

DELT recap – trader checklist – hindsight

Discussion of “robot thinking” Trader Checklist is still just a guide. Not written in stone.

Good psychology discussion on DELT

Level 2 discussion

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 9

Click here to get Timothy Sykes Trader Checklist 100% for FREE.

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Summary:

Very solid nitty gritty chapter here. And especially for those new to trading or new to actually preparing at night. One of the best overarching themes of Trader Checklist is spending the time and doing due diligence to locate the best trades. So many unsuccessful traders just show up at the market open with no plan or theme and just start putting on random trades. They then proceed to get frustrated and most likely chopped out of even good setups.

This chapter is an hour long insight into Sykes building his watchlist. Rating stocks for their potential and really thinking about how and why to trade them. Not only is this useful since you actually see him using the Trader Checklist real time. I think the greatest lesson is watching him work through his process of selection, at times agongizing over making a plan.

I truly and firmly believe in “No plan, no trade”. Especially as a newer or intermediate trader you have to “put in the reps” each night or early morning. Its boring, slow and at times annoying. But you will never find success or get to the next level without doing this work. NOBODY, no matter what they say on Twitter shows up at 9:29AM, makes a couple trades and calls it a day at 11AM WITHOUT doing the work of scanning and planning.

This chapter gives a good insight into Sykes putting in this effort each and every night. Great lesson on the process of the Trader Checklist, but even better lesson on work ethic. I’ve followed Sykes since about 2007 and he has literally NEVER missed a day building a watchlist in roughly 9 years.

Great overall chapter and for sure should be flagged for re-watching.

Notes:

After hours STT

Building a watchlist

Support/Resistance

Discussion of penny stocks versus “real stocks” and price movement

Look at price/patterns/volume and catalyst not what the company is or does.

Percentage gainers – watchlist
-from today or the day before.

High volume can create choppiness

DELT breakdown

Good listening to though process through potential watches and trade plans.

Multiple timeframe breakdown – useful

TOPS – breakdown

Risk to reward discussion

Little bit of SEC digging

Lots of good Trader Checklist examples

Again a good use of the SSS is cutting down a watch list to a manageable number.

GRPN PEIX ALIM – earnings winners

PEIX basic technical analysis

Breakdown of earnings winners – checklist style

Breakdown of Supernovas – checklist

SPU trader checklist

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 8

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Summary:

Another shorter chapter, right around 30 minutes. I try and keep these reviews honest and not just “rose colored”. So this was probably my least favorite chapter. Though while it did not have much value for me, I think it would serve very new traders well. Most of chapter was reviewing and “hindsight trading” a couple trades that Sykes made that day. He retroactively completed the SSS sheet on trades after closing them out.

This has some value I think to kind of get in the mind of how to approach a trade setup, but for me it was not that engaging.

Best value was in reinforcing the idea of using the SSS to whittle down the number of stocks you watch. I really think that is one of the most powerful parts of this model, while obvoiusly not perfect it creates a framework to get you down to a manageable list of stocks.

Good thing is it was quick so you can pick up the solid tips without spending a ton of time on this chapter.

Notes:

STT – SSS post market open.

SPU – GRPN recaps

MFT discussion

Detailed discussion of SPU, before, during and after trade.

Double back to SSS analysis on GRPN EVOK PEIX MDGS

SSS – Trader Checklist on SPU in hindsight

User testimonials

EVOK recap

Float rotation discussion

GRPN recap and breakdown

Lot of doubling back on setups.

SSS helps you refine down to less tickers to follow.

Tough to short earnings winners/delayed spikes

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 7

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Summary:

Quick but good chapter. Actually while I normally think more is better I think brevity in this case in a positive. Sykes goes into actually implementing the SSS in 4 different stocks. It is a capture from pre market back in July so the actually tickers do not really matter. What is valuable is hearing and seeing Sykes thought process and how he actually weights each criteria in the 7 categories.

The Sykes Sliding Scale is not an exact science but it is a solid method to help decide whether a stock is a solid trade setup for YOU. And what I really like is it helps rank all the potential trades of the day. I prefer to focus on as few stocks as possible and watching Sykes go through examples is very helpful to refine this process.

Notes:

Pre market watchlist building with StocksToTrade

Use pre market as a guide

Earnings discussion and time based chart stamping in StocksToTrade

PEIX, EVOK

S13-G Filing

Bad sushi, beat down stocks
-not always worth buying just because they are cheap

Trader Checklist Demo with PEIX

http://profit.ly/sss

7/28/2016 Examples

PEIX – 56 on the SSS nothing amazing setup wise

EVOK – 52 SSS

MDGS – 67

MDGS not ideal but good example of showing “weighting” of potential plays and which to focus on

Good example of thought process in flux.

GRPN – 61

Hypothetical on GRPN – 73

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 6

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“Why is the sky blue, I don’t know, I’m sure some scientist knows?”

Timothy Sykes

Overall a very solid chapter, I start with the quote above because I think while funny it is one of the most useful points of this chapter. Sykes used this quote when discussing news around low priced stocks. It came from the fact that he was pushing never anticipate earnings or news or other announcements, trade the reaction to them. So many new traders get stuck on guessing games and lose because of it. If you trade in anticipation of events so often you will get shook out before the trade has a chance to work. And in the end even if you are right you may end up losing. If you are watching this DVD or interested in it you are a TRADER, trade the price action, you are not a GUESSER.

This content alone was worth watching for an hour.

Other than that there is a lot of discussion about time of day and your personal schedule. Sykes like to refer to himself as a “retired” trader. I have a similar mindset in that I call myself a “part time trader”. Him and I both might be strapped into a trading platform 9+ hours a day but we are focusing on ONLY trading the best setups and not trying to trade anything and everything. Obviously I’m biased but I think this is the best approach.

Very good chapter, I like that he wrapped up on a couple hypothetical SSS setups and how the simple spreadsheet can serve as a guide. Very solid watch and really a potential rewatch.

Notes:

A: At what “time of day”

Don’t become a slave of the markets

First and last hour, best times

Sometimes mid day plays but more often than not, there is nothing or very little

Quit chasing the scraps and wait for the best setup

Overnight trades are solid setups/especially under PDT

Overnights are risky because of potential news etc.
-buying good news O/N is solid setup
-Shorting ugly charts O/N is a solid technique as well
-International news and overall markets can effect overnight postions

Consider your schedule and to do list each day

NEVER feel bad if real life gets in the way of trading.

Wait for trades to come to you instead of constantly “fishing” for plays

Make trading work for your schedule.

Be careful setting profit dollar goals

Think of yourself as a “retired” trader or “part time trader”
-instead of milestones focus on the process and getting consistent

Avoid pre market unless something VERY interesting. Use pre market as a guide

Shorting early sometimes is the only approach, because of share availability, but consider size and squeeze potential

Use chat/twitter etc as “idea generation” never follow, never believe

Prepare pre market, start researching 9AM AT THE LATEST, more like 8AM

Recap of student profits and testimonials

Paper trade if you are new

Don’t be a slave to trading, trading should offer freedom

R: Reason/Catalyst
-News and other catalysts are a guide, but NEVER get to biased.
-Contracts/earnings etc

Good discussion of contracts and earnings and how stocks react to them.

But never guess on earnings, trade afterwards and the reaction

Very good advice on only trading the reaction to news and earnings etc, guessing ahead of time has NO edge

Trade the movement, not the anticipation, never hold and hope.

You don’t need to dig into the news and filings that much, cursory glance and react

Don’t revenge trade, a miss is a miss

Discussion of “buy on rumor, sell on news”

E: Market Environment

3 out of 4 stocks follow the market.
-Dont fight this, follow it

Have zero expectations and you will not be disapointed

Low float runners hot (summer 2016) but at some point they will quit working, but keep trading them until then.

“Who is to stay August won’t be better” 😃

“Why is the sky blue, I don’t know, I’m sure some scientist knows”

Trade what is working “NOW”, right now low float runners, soon it will be something else.

55:35 First SSS example and breakdown

profit.ly/sss simple online spreadsheet to test
-breakdown

Examples and breakdown for 0-100 scale

Criteria stay the same, but what goes into them will change

Some final market commentary, be reactive not predictive

LX21 and Croock videos coming up

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 5

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Really starting to get more into the nitty gritty of what the SSS is and how to apply it to penny stocks. In this chapter Sykes goes over the “E” in PREPARE fully and starts explaining the second “P”. The E is for “Ease of Entry/Exit” and the P is for “Past Performance”. This is good info because he explains the concept of “former runners” and the idea that many tickers repeat their runs over and over. Something newer traders may not realize is traders will pile into tickers they recognize. 99.999999% of momentum traders are creatures of habit. Whether they be long or short biased, when a familiar ticker shows up on scans there is a good chance there will be lots of activity in that stock that day.

Jumping back to the “E” this is why Tim repeats himself over and over that you should only trade the stocks with volume that day. And also why there is value in filtering your list down to only the percentage gainers. If there is no volume TODAY, do not trade it. You do of course need to think about the average daily trading volume, but we are day traders or short term swing traders, we only care about what is happening today and at most this week. I know so many new traders that get “trapped” in a low volume stock that they recognized a pattern in. Sure pattern recognition is very valuable and part of your growing process but the pattern is worthless unless you can get in and out when YOU want to.

VERY good chapter, one of the best so far. Good content and as I mentioned in the opening sentence this part was 100% trading related content. If you are new this is a solid chapter to rewatch. Also it’s the first appearance of the “bad sushi” analogy. I’ve known Sykes a long time and he loves analogies, though most of the ones he makes are misses, the “day old sushi and cheap stocks” is one of his best!

Notes:

E: East of Entry/Exit (1-10)

Daily trading volume and position size
Speed of movement, be sized and prepared for slippage / implication of chasing
Borrow availability, SSR

Size needs to be related to daily volume – THAT DAY not average
Avoid being more than 1% of daily trading volume

Most think small amounts are a handicap, they can actually be an advantage

Find your niche

Shorting is difficult.
-Lots of details and explanation of shorting
-Borrows
-Annoyances

You must consider how hard it is to short, implications and hassles
-You can waste a lot of time watching and researching a ticker then find out there are no borrows

Buy ins – T+3

P: Past Performance/History of Running (1-10)

-Former runner?

-Long term chart – MTF

-Crow – long time chart death, most spikes will get sold into

-Same with Shorts, often pile into any spike on the short side

-Discussion of tax loss selling at end of year

-Look for past volatility
-Momentum chasers come in, short sellers can came in Traders remember tickers

-Past performance guides traders to be better prepared for current and future spikes

-Track shares outstanding and float

-Calculate market cap – Shares outstanding * stock price

-“float rotation”

-Buying low float runners is solid strategy “supply and demand”

-Sykes considers low float < 5M

-Watch market cap in relation to float

-Sellers will come in if valuation is too high
-good reason to watch big % gainers only

-More discussion of low floaters

-Trading low floaters is fine, but hard and you have to be VERY fast.

-Valuation discussions

-Risk to reward, recognize climate of shorting versus buying

-big movers tend to move big again, slow movers tend move slow

-avoid boring stocks

-$CDTI

-$GRPN

-$SIRI

-$EVOK

-Discount sushi analogy

-$MGT

-$OPTT

-Reverse Split description and detail – explanation

Review of #traderchecklist Instructional DVD by @timothysykes Chapter 4

Click here to get Timothy Sykes Trader Checklist 100% for FREE.

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Table of Contents for Review of TraderChecklist

I liked this chapter overall, tons of good stuff about risk to reward and trade plans. I have a certain fetish for the discussion of trade plans I admit. It’s something that is so often ignored or overlooked. Everyone will brag about profits or sometimes and I do mean sometimes, mention a loss. But seldom is it mentioned what the thought process was going into the trade. And how, where, when, and why you took that profit or loss.

Sykes hammers on and on about planning your risk to reward ratio. Of course it’s all just guesstimation, but something that wipes out traders more than anything in my opinion is making a trade because a stock is moving but never really spending a few moments to plan out what you are going to do when you have a loss or a profit. This can never be reinforced enough.

The rest of the chapter is what I would consider Short Selling 090. It is a pretty basic introduction but short selling is confusing as hell to most traders so its good that he takes a basic approach. Notice the notes below Tim covers a TON of tickers and the potential for taking the “meat of the move” while shorting POS and/or promoted stocks.

In summary a very solid chapter especially for new traders and guys interested in the potential of short selling. Not to mention great content on trade plans.

Notes:

$WLOCD – Rest Stop Short trade – 50% drop

Discussion of panic selling in pump and dumps

$HEMP – Short sell

Discussion of potential in shorting junk stocks, when they crack they crack hard.

Q tickers – bankrupt companies

$LEXG

$NXTH

$TNGS

$HHWW

You don’t need to be an “amazing trader” to make money in penny stocks.

Catch the meat of the move but take profits

$ISNS

$FMCC

Stair stepper grind up then crack and gap down short.

More on $FMNA and $FMCC

$WSGP

Good discussion of not trying to find the top, let them fade and short against previous highs.

$CLRH

Promotion stocks discussion, doesnt really exist much any more but decent lessons

Funny background on pump of $CLRH
-unrestricted share selling/dumping

$NNRX

Good newbie explanation of “how a pump and dump works”

R in SSS

R: Risk/Reward 1-20 on scale

You have to plan and estimate the risk and reward TRADE PLAN

Always plan for being wrong. Do not be a deer in the headlights

Always stick to you plan, breaking your plan ALWAYS increases losses.

Discussion of market maker stop loss sweeping.

You do not know the risk and reward but you have to estimate and create a plan. Easiest way is around support and resistance levels.

Scenarios of risk and reward based on support an resistance

$ XXII
Examples of calculating risk to reward and ratios

So few traders ever concretely think about trade plans. HAVE TO HAVE it before the trade.
-No plan no trade
Risk is always minimal as long as you cut losses quickly.

Avoid trading earnings – gambling

Never trade to get back to even. Always cut losses quickly.

Time comes into factor. In momentum stocks usually if the move doesnt happen quickly it won’t happen.

Trade crazy stocks but be quick.

You can’t predict news/announcemnts halts etc

No legit company sends a promotional mailer

Always keep an eye on markets.

Recap of some really old gap plays.

Below Deck recap – $EKSO

stockstotrade.com STT reference

$CNTO short

$PRGN – Low float super nova

More discussion of low float trend